e-Literate

Present is Prologue

Category: Academics & Academia

The “Academics and Academia” category covers topics related the ways in which colleges and universities function that are relevant to technology-supported education. One key aspect covered here is pedagogy—how people teach—and how technology impacts teaching and learning.

But this category also includes more institutional aspects that are relevant to technology-supported education, such as how campus leadership supports (or doesn’t support) new initiatives, politics and bureaucracy that impact these efforts, and so on.

Finally, “Academics and Academia” covers commercial and non-profit services that provide support for technology-supported education initiatives, such as Online Program Management (OPM) companies.


  • Big Changes at Unizin: CEO and COO resign after board meeting

    Big Changes at Unizin: CEO and COO resign after board meeting

    Three and a half years after its formation, Unizin is facing its biggest challenge. Now that the consortium is dealing with contract renewals (membership based on three-year agreements), and now that it is a standalone organization and not wrapped under Internet2, Unizin will face the future without its top management.

    There’s a lot more here than just a change of one or two executives, and we plan to share more analysis next week here at e-Literate. We have also reached out to get comments from the various people involved. For now, however, here are the basics.

    This week there were two board meetings in Austin, TX – one for Unizin and one for Kuali – due to the logistics of having several people serving on both boards. We have confirmed based on multiple sources that after a meeting with the Unizin executive committee but before the board meeting, CEO Amin Qazi turned in his resignation. One day later, after the board approved a new interim CEO, COO Robin Littleworth turned in his resignation.

    The interim CEO is Rob Lowden, Associate VP Enterprise Systems at Indiana University and long-time active member of the Kuali community and prior to that in the Sakai community (including board positions in those two open source organizations). To the best of my knowledge, Lowden will remain in his job at IU while at the same time running Unizin until the board selects new executives.

    Expect more from us next week.

    Update: Clarified timing of resignation.

  • WCET: Clarity into the successful transition of UF Online

    WCET: Clarity into the successful transition of UF Online

    At this year’s annual meeting for WCET, I was on a panel, along with EdSurge’s Jeff Young, moderated by Saint Leo University’s Jeff Borden. Kicking off the panel, Borden framed the discussion partially as learning from those outside academia. Even though I am not an academic, I have found myself making the mistake of a bias against outsiders. Almost two and a half years ago I described the emerging disaster of University of Florida Online (UF Online) – reality was exposing fundamentally flawed enrollment estimates based on institutional and vendor hubris. In this post I described another challenge:

    In the midst of the challenging startup, UF Online had to deal with the premature departure of the initial executive director. After a one-year search process, UF Online chose a new leader who has absolutely no experience in online education.

    That was probably the fifth edit of a paragraph that started closer to “UF Online somehow thought a bureaucrat from EPA should be its new leader. Next up: filling the VP of student support with DMV veteran.” I was wrong – it turns out that choosing an outsider was just what the program needed.

    Further down in the post I noted:

    At this point, it might have been worth stepping back and challenging some of the original assumptions.

    By late 2016, however, I noted a “remarkable transformation at UF Online” and how the unit shed the hubris of the initial plans and really did challenged original assumptions and came up with a new strategy.

    At another WCET session, this same UF Online executive director Evie Cummings provided more insight into the mindset that led to this transformation. Prior to coming to UF Online, Cummings was instrumental in creating and establishing the EPA Information Quality Guidelines and much of the focus was on transparency and accuracy of information shared with the public. This mindset has been brought to the University of Florida, not only leading to an honest reevaluation of original assumptions but also to what I consider exemplary public reporting on program and student outcomes at UF Online.

    Another mindset described in the session was the acceptance of those who control funding – board of governors and state legislators in this case – and figuring out how to use data and communication to bring them along into healthier decision-making.

    These approaches are evident in the UF Online annual report released earlier in the week.

    In terms of enrollment, UF Online not only reports current status and plans, but they choose not to whitewash the past. Their report shows the original plan, the revised plan, and current results with a healthy 34% year-over-year enrollment growth.

    One side benefit – I no longer need to update the spreadsheet I had been using to describe the same information.

    Further in the report, there is a description of UF Online’s new emphasis on creating community among online students and graduates.

    Launched in 2017, the UF Online Connections Program works to foster a thriving learning community across all online students, faculty, academic advisors, and staff. Coupled with strong academic programs, a vibrant and engaged online student experience assures UF Online students not only gain the skills they need but also the connections and network to support them after they graduate. This past year, the Connections program emphasized providing community and networking opportunities with key strategic in-person events.

    They have also launched what they call UF Plaza, a virtual campus to help create social engagement, peer collaboration, and general support groups. Structures outside of the classroom focused on helping online students feel connected.

    One of my previous criticisms was the creation of Pathway to Campus Enrollment (PaCE) – automatic enrollment offers for qualified students who did not get into the main University of Florida as traditional students, with option to transition from online to campus for upper division coursework. When PaCE kicked off, the effort seemed focused mostly on institutional rather than student needs, and students were unprepared for the offer and decision. There was no provision to explain the program and help students decide if they should consider the online option.

    Now UF Online offers a mandatory PaCE Preview:

    This consists of a full day of informational sessions followed by one-on-one sessions with an advisor and concluding with first semester registration.

    They have also added remote site visits:

    We Come to You help sessions: For the first time, in March 2017, UF provided a local site visit in Coral Gables, FL to answer questions about PaCE and help students and their families to make an informed decision.

    Given that PaCE students are a different group – they did not initially apply to be an online student – it makes sense that UF Online now reports fall-to-fall persistence data for non-PaCE and PaCE student groups. And they even give a breakdown by academic program and updated status of the PaCE students who enrolled in 2015.

    There are also detailed financials, showing that UF Online is currently bringing in $6.3 m of tuition revenue and $5.0 m of state subsidies and spending $12.5 m.

    UF Online still has challenges – improving persistence rates, getting to break-even financials, etc. And they are not the only online program with this level of success. What makes UF Online so interesting to watch is that they made some hard choices to get past faulty original planning assumptions, they are very transparent in sharing their information publicly, and this is a very positive case of higher education embracing and learning from an outsider.

  • WGU Audit: Likely impacts for fragile movement of competency-based education

    WGU Audit: Likely impacts for fragile movement of competency-based education

    One issue that almost all observers seem to agree upon is that the Department of Education is unlikely to accept the Office of the Inspector General’s (OIG’s) recommendations to declare Western Governors University (WGU) a provider of correspondence courses and to force the school to pay back more than $700 million in Title IV funds. It would be a mistake, however, to dismiss the audit findings that attempted to add new interpretations of distance education requirements for “regular and substantive interaction”, a topic I mentioned on Friday.

    One important variable in this equation is timing – how long will the ED take to review the audit findings and make official decisions on adopting or rejecting the recommendations? Based on history, the decision could take years, as described by Michael Goldstein, lawyer at Cooley LLP in a WCET post by Russ Poulin:

    The IG’s report and recommendations go to Federal Student Aid, which decides what, if any, action should be taken. (The “if any” is directly from the IG transmittal.) That involves a further, and often lengthy, review process. The ultimate decision authority is the Secretary.

    I’m not counting on institutional leaders using the argument “I’m not worried, Betsy DeVos has my back”. The longer the review process drags on, the bigger the impact.

    Another important variable is the extent to which the ED will reject the findings – will they reject the audit in its entirety and take no action, or will they accept some of the findings? Keep in mind that the argument about WGU providing self-paced courses and rejecting the institution’s claims to be a term-based institution are much stronger than the argument behind the OIG’s arbitrary interpretation of regular and substantive interaction.

    Impact on Big CBE Programs

    The impact on WGU itself is most likely a matter of whether perception drives enrollment down. WGU clearly spent a lot of time and effort this summer preparing their web site to deal with the fall out. The central theme is to attempt to reassure current and prospective students that WGU “students, graduates, and employers of our graduates can rest assured that WGU’s accreditation and financial aid eligibility are intact”.

    Students don’t follow all the details of political maneuvering and and even less of OIG audit reviews, but the perception that WGU’s status as a qualified distance education provider is at risk, therefore making the value of the degrees and likelihood of financial aid at risk, will add a barrier to enrollment decisions. I don’t suspect WGU can sweep this under the rug – they will have to go public as they have done with web site and hit this topic head on.

    In my estimation, however, this will be a matter of a reduction in WGU’s enrollment growth, or possibly a drop, and not an existential problem for them. WGU has a 20-year history, more than 83,000 students, full institutional commitment to fight this audit in public, and a lot of clout in Washington with bipartisan support of their model – a rarity these days.

    Southern New Hampshire University (SNHU) is also known for CBE, as their College for America got a lot of press over the past several years. What is not as well-known is that College for America, with its 8,000+ students, has been folded into the main operations of SNHU and its 100,000+ students, using the description of Workforce Partnerships. SNHU has less exposure than WGU to the audit for three reasons:

    • Obviously the audit was specifically on WGU and not SNHU.
    • CBE is all that WGU does, whereas SNHU has a fast-growing traditional online set of programs that provides the majority of its enrollment.
    • SNHU’s College for America is a business-to-business model, working directly with employers rather than being a consumer program targeting individual students as WGU does. It will be a lot easier to control the message and reassure partners in the B2B model.

    There could be some impact to SNHU and College for America, but again this is likely a manageable problem for these large schools.

    Impact on Everyone Else

    The bigger impact in my estimation will be on the other CBE programs in operation or in consideration, and this gets to the fragile movement comment.

    Both WGU and SNHU have gone all-in on CBE. They invested heavily in developing the models, they have worked with employers to understand needs, they already have thousands and thousands of students and are growing enrollment, and they are fully committed as an institution to the concept and implementation of full-fledged CBE and not just CBE-lite. But both schools are outliers in the broader CBE movement.

    A great deal of the perception of CBE is that there are “hundreds of schools” developing programs, often driven by a 2015 Public Agenda survey. What is happening in reality is that hundreds of schools are very cautiously dipping their toes in the CBE waters with no real commitment to make the model work, and they are only playing with courses and individual programs. Carl Straumsheim from Inside Higher Ed covered this situation in the spring, triggered by e-Literate news that Ellucian was dropping its CBE platform due to weak market demand:

    Last year, Ellucian partnered with the consulting and research firm Eduventures and the American Council on Education to survey 251 colleges on their competency-based education strategies. The survey identified one major reason why the competency-based education market may be a tricky one for vendors to build a profitable business model in: most colleges aren’t ready to go all in yet.

    The study found that only 7 percent of the colleges surveyed said they delivered most of their education using a competency-based model. Many more colleges said they were at the point of testing competency-based education in individual programs (18 percent) or courses (37 percent).

    For most of the CBE programs that I have seen, we’re dealing with dozens, or perhaps hundreds of students. The University of Wisconsin’s UW Flex program – one of the best known outside of WGU and SNHU – has only grown to 5 degree programs, 3 certificate programs, 1300 students in total, and $2.8 million in annual gross revenue. And the vast majority of programs are much smaller than that. Read the Eduventures 2016 report (the same one referenced by Ellucian in the IHE article) for additional perspective.

    Rather than a single, dominant version of CBE, our 2016 survey data reveals a diversity of practice across a spectrum of schools, each deploying and experimenting with CBE in order to meet specific institutional challenges. A portrait of CBE emerges as a menu of tools and practices, rather than a monolithic approach or linear path. These findings underscore the need for institutions to carefully weigh the pros and cons of CBE implementation, and to proactively select the CBE components that make the most sense for their students and mission.

    The challenge is that CBE calls for a new organizational model and a new pedagogical design in order to make it work, at least in a self-sustaining manner. It is great to see hundreds of schools experimenting with new methods to reach non-traditional students, but none of these programs will last if they do not get sufficient scale to justify the costs. But very few schools are even looking at how to get to thousands of students and determining what investment and organizational setup will be required to get there. This isn’t as simple as flipping a classroom or two.

    When you add in the WGU audit results, this challenge gets much harder to address. It will be much more difficult to justify investing in CBE programs or partnerships, or expanding beyond a pilot, when the audit provides marketing copy for those would resist CBE at traditional schools.

    California

    From the annals of bad timing comes this news from a week ago:

    The California Community Colleges’ Board of Governors today approved a new partnership with Western Governors University (WGU) that allows graduates of California’s 114 community colleges to transfer and seek their bachelor’s degree at a discount from the fully accredited, online institution.

    The agreement goes beyond pre-setting up transfers. It also is meant to encourage CCC students to move to WGU for their bachelor’s degree, where appropriate. There are terms for a 5% discount for CCC students, and there is a section on joint marketing.

    The CCCCO supports and will encourage CCCs to collaborate with WGU so that partnership
    information is available to students, faculty, and staff. WGU will also work in collaboration
    with the CCCCO to assist in dissemination of information to students, faculty, and staff at
    CCCs. CCCs will be encouraged to publicize locally the Chancellor’s Office support of this
    agreement, to inform students, faculty, and staff of the agreement’s benefits. Information will
    be encouraged through established internal CCC communication channels (such as
    student/employee newsletters, web sites pages, and listservs)

    This news comes at the same time as the active debate on the CCC system being directed to create a fully-online college serving non-traditional working adult students.

    These are dramatic proposals for the largest higher education system in the US, and there is bound to be plenty of opposition to such plans from faculty unions and other groups skeptical about changes in model.

    I suspect that the political climate in California just got a lot more difficult in terms of implementing both initiatives, and I suspect that the option lists available for setting up the new online college is shorter than it was last week.

    Reminder

    To be clear for those who have not read the first post, I consider the audit a travesty. The CBE movement and individual programs deserve scrutiny to ensure quality education for students, but this audit and its impact will do nothing useful to protect students or ensure quality.

    ((Full disclosure and Update: WGU is a past client of MindWires. Although we have no recent or pending relationship with WGU, since the topic was raised at Hack Education, I have added this disclosure. SNHU is a customer of our LMS market analysis service.))

  • WGU Audit Findings: Interpretations of “regular and substantive” and “self-paced”

    WGU Audit Findings: Interpretations of “regular and substantive” and “self-paced”

    The big news this week was the Office of the Inspector General (OIG) at the Department of Education (ED) finding that Western Governors University (WGU) should be considered a correspondence provider instead of a distance education provider, and the school should return more than $700 million in Title IV federal funding programs. ((Full disclosure and Update: WGU is a past client of MindWires. Although we have no recent or pending relationship with WGU, since the topic was raised at Hack Education, I have added this disclosure.)) In short, being ruled a correspondence provider would mean that most student loans and Pell grants would not apply for WGU students and would all but shut down the institution or make it irrelevant. While the ED itself is unlikely to follow these non-binding recommendations, this ruling will have a big impact for years. More on that in tomorrow’s post. For now, the title loans for college students are the best option right now.

    It would be useful to first review the actual audit findings, especially since most media reporting focused mostly or solely on the issue of “regular and substantive interaction”, but the findings are broader and also encompass issues are self-paced vs. credit-hour / term-based education.

    The audit started over four years ago and primarily focused on 102 courses (out of 980) offered in the 2013 – 14 academic year. No one seems to know why the OIG started this audit, but the audit report itself makes it clear that quality was not the issue (page 6):

    we did not assess whether the school’s model was improving educational quality or expanding access to higher education.

    WGU’s regional accreditor,  Northwest Commission on Colleges and Universities, has accredited WGU as a term-based distance education provider, including reaffirming the accreditation in February of this year. The Department of Education explicitly allowed WGU to be classified as a distance education provider as part of the Distance Education Demonstration Program from 1999 – 2005 and granted further waivers and agreements in April 2005.

    By my reading, the audit is a model of hyper-literal translation of ambiguous regulations, leading to three findings.

    • Finding 1) Course Offerings Met the Title IV Definition of a Correspondence Course, Not the Title IV Definition of Distance Education – This finding was centered on reviews of course materials for 69 courses as well as a mapping of WGU’s unbundled faculty role to traditional instructor definitions. The OIG found that using the courses did not meet the interpretation of regular and substantive interaction required of distance education courses.
    • Finding 2) Western Governors University Disbursed Title IV Funds to Students Before the Students Were Eligible to Receive the Funds – This finding was based on additional mapping of WGU’s CBE model to traditional term-based model. WGU itself decided to consider itself a term-based institution, mapping one competency unit to one credit hour over a 26-week academic term, and the ED recognized this classification in the 2005 agreement. The OIG, however, found that WGU should have been classified as a non-term school using self-paced programs. There are a different set of regulations for non-term programs.
    • Finding 3) Western Governors University Did Not Always Comply With the Requirements Governing the Return of Title IV Funds – This finding is important, but it deals with detailed bureaucratic rules upon student withdrawals. I’ll let someone else look at this finding.

    It is the combination of findings 1) and 2) that are important not just to WGU but to any school developing an online or hybrid non-lecture-based approach.

    Regular and Substantive Interaction

    WGU has been at the forefront of breaking apart the traditional faculty role, instead using mentors, evaluators, and other interdependent roles. The audit acknowledged that (page 15):

    Northwest Commission recognized Western Governors University’s student mentors, course mentors, evaluators, product managers, and council members as members of the school’s faculty. The accrediting agency also distinguished between the roles of student mentors and course mentors, characterizing student mentors as serving in academic advisory roles and course mentors serving in instructional roles.

    The OIG used a binary role-based approach (you are an instructor or you are not) leading to conclusion that only course mentors and evaluators could be considered as instructors, however. The basis of this determination was an instructor must “provide instruction on course content” – clearly a content-dissemination view that rejects alternative pedagogies. And this interpretation that the OIG treats as unambiguous is not based on law, regulations, or commonly-accepted educational terminology.

    The OIG looked at the ambiguous regulations and chose their own, very literal, interpretations (page 14):

    Because the HEA and Title IV regulations did not define instructor, substantive, or regular, we considered the ordinary meaning of those terms when assessing whether the school designed the 102 courses to offer regular and substantive interaction between students and instructors. We reviewed the school’s course design materials for evidence of interaction that was not primarily initiated by the student and was (1) with someone who instructs or provides knowledge about the subject matter of the course (instructor), (2) relevant to the subject matter (substantive), and (3) occurring with some reasonable frequency considering the school-suggested length of the course (regular).

    This is why I call the audit methodology as hyper-literal. Somehow the OIG thinks they can determine – without any disagreement or ambiguity – the “ordinary meaning of those terms” based on their own interpretations.

    Also note that the determination was entirely based on course design materials – think syllabus and course outlines. The OIG did not look at interactions arising during the course of actual course work, just whether there were pre-defined webinars, meetings, and student-instructor interactions. The OIG did eliminate many interactions as not being “substantive” (page 16):

    After identifying the employees who could reasonably be considered instructors, we determined what type of interactions could reasonably be considered substantive. We considered an interaction to be substantive if the course design materials described student interaction with a course mentor or required an individual submission of a performance task for which an evaluator provided the student feedback. We did not consider the following to be instances of substantive interactions between students and instructors:

    • Objective assessments that students submitted for evaluation because feedback on objective assessments was computer-generated, was not provided by instructors, and did not facilitate synchronous or asynchronous interaction between students and instructors.
    • Recorded webinars, videos, and reading materials if the course design materials did not require the students to watch the webinars or videos and then interact with an instructor. Many course outlines stated only that course mentors were available to students for assistance if the student wanted to contact the course mentor. Had the course design materials indicated that the recorded webinars, videos, and reading materials facilitated synchronous or asynchronous interactions, such as requiring the student to contact an instructor or participate in an online discussion moderated by an instructor, we would have considered those instances to be substantive interaction.
    • Contact with student mentors because the accrediting agency’s recognition, the school’s description of the student mentor’s role, and our interviews with six student mentors disclosed that student mentors did not provide instruction on the subject matter of the courses that students were taking.

    To be “regular”, the OIG required that all interactions be pre-planned, with the right people, in the course design materials (page 16).

    We did not find any evidence in the course design materials for 69 courses that would provide a reasonable basis for concluding that planned student interactions with course mentors and evaluators could be considered as occurring with some reasonable frequency (regular). The only evidence of regular interaction was student contact with student mentors. However, student mentors did not provide instruction.

    In its comment on the draft findings, WGU complained that OIG (page 20 and 26):

    did not count, as regular and substantive interaction, significant interactions not described in course outlines.

    OIG’s response basically agreed with this complaint:

    We considered all events described in course outlines and pacing guides, along with calendars of live events referenced in those materials. If substantive interactions were not described in any of these course design materials, we had no reasonable basis to conclude that such interactions were part of the design of the courses and did not consider them as planned course requirements. [snip]

    Course mentors might have identified students who were struggling, and many course outlines instructed students to contact course mentors if the students needed assistance. However, if course design materials did not describe the interaction, there was no reasonable assurance that students had any regular and substantive interaction with course mentors.

    These views essentially reject not just WGU’s approach to CBE but also the broader movement of faculty from “sage on the stage to guide on the side”. Instructors, from the OIG view, must provide instruction on course content and interactions must be pre-planned in the course design materials, at least for online courses.

    Self-Paced

    While I assume there were good reasons for WGU to want to avoid being classified as a non-term school, their 2005 declaration that they were not self-paced but rather term-based now appears to be a self-inflicted wound (page 34).

    Western Governors University Comments
    Western Governors University stated that its courses were not self-paced. Students were given a pacing guide and were expected to complete a certain number of competency units each term. In addition, a key role of the student mentor was to guide the pace of academic progress with individual students to ensure course completion by a certain date. Students had some flexibility in the pacing and moved through the content at different rates to allow for their individual competency development. However, that does not mean that the courses were self-paced.

    OIG Response
    Western Governors University’s statement that courses were not self-paced is contrary to its advertising materials, pacing guide descriptions, and statements from school officials we interviewed. According to the school’s web site, students could complete a degree program as soon as they successfully completed all of the necessary assessments. Students who completed assessments quicker could complete their degree quicker. The school’s web site also stated that students could complete assessments as soon as they were ready; if they were already competent in a subject area, they could prove it faster and complete their degree faster. If students completed their programs in less time, they paid only the tuition for the number of student terms in which they needed to enroll to complete the program. Course outlines stated the following about the pacing guides: “The pacing guide suggests a weekly structure to pace your completion of learning activities. It is provided as a suggestion and does not represent a mandatory schedule.” Western Governors University’s Program Development Operations Manager, Director of Assessment Design and Development, and Associate Provost for Academic Services confirmed to us during the audit that courses were self-paced.

    Ouch. It is far different for OIG to arbitrarily pick their own interpretations of regular and substantive interactions than it is for OIG to use WGU’s own descriptions and interviews. This seems to be a strong argument by OIG.

    WGU Response and Web Site

    WGU’s response was dated May 22 of this year, so they have had time to prepare for the audit findings. They have a web site that explains the situation, answers basic questions, and highlights their arguments against the findings.

    WGU strongly disagrees with the Inspector General’s audit report, which challenges our innovative, results-proven faculty model.

    With this key arguments:

    WGU has complied with the higher education laws and Department of Education guidance since our founding 20 years ago. Students, graduates, and employers of our graduates can rest assured that WGU’s accreditation and financial aid eligibility are intact.

    Our accreditor, the Northwest Commission on Colleges and Universities, has approved our faculty model and reaffirmed our accreditation in February 2017. Accreditors are responsible for determining whether a university is eligible for federal financial aid.

    Fixes Needed

    I agree with both Russ Poulin and Amy Laitinen regarding the need to fix but not remove the “regular and substantive interaction” regulations. From Inside Higher Ed’s coverage:

    Russell Poulin, director of policy and analysis at the WICHE Cooperative for Educational Technologies, said the department has done a “horrible” job of informing colleges about its expectations of how to comply with the regular-and-substantive requirements, which he said have changed over time.

    In addition, he criticized the inspector general’s decision to base its compliance position on disagreement about the mode of teaching at WGU when there is no evidence of any harm to students.

    “I totally agree with the intention of proponents of the ‘regular-and-substantive interaction’ rule, which is to avoid fraud. But it is an outdated method of reaching that goal,” he said via email, comparing it to a hypothetical decision by regulators to remove all ATM card readers because of the risk of credit card skimmers. [snip]

    Amy Laitinen, director of higher education policy for the group and a former Obama administration Education Department official, said the law was a response to rampant fraud and abuse.

    “We need to carefully fix (not gut) the now-outdated law to ensure that students are getting the academic and other supports that they need,” she said via email. “If we don’t do it carefully, it will be a fast race to the bottom, which would be bad for students and bad for the competency-based education community.”

    The Worst Part

    To me the worst part of the audit is the language used by the OIG that tries to make any disagreement with a hyper-literal translation of ambiguous regulations seem to be invalid (page 3).

    None of these 69 courses could reasonably be considered as providing regular and substantive interaction between students and instructors.

    Who holds these “unreasonable” views? The Department of Education and the Northwest Commission are two groups, among others. It’s bad enough that the OIG took the out-of-context, hyper-literal approach to the audit, but to not acknowledge the ambiguity and lack of clear guidance about this requirement is disingenuous.

    This audit is a travesty in my opinion. Even though it is likely to be rejected by the ED itself, it will have an impact, and the internal review of the audit will likely take years. I’ll write more about potential impact of the audit tomorrow.

    Additional Reading

  • California Should Watch Arkansas Process for Creating New Online Institution

    California Should Watch Arkansas Process for Creating New Online Institution

    Two months ago I wrote a post about Governor Brown’s directive for a fully-online community college in California, noting that:

    What this points to is that for a new fully-online institution to get to some meaningful level of enrollment (let’s say 20,000) in the same ballpark as these comparison schools, I estimate it would take a full decade at the least. This is the reason, by the way, that Mitch Daniels and Purdue University made the Kaplan University deal even though Kaplan’s enrollments are dropping. Daniels did not want to wait a decade to get to meaningful enrollment numbers for an online college serving working adults – if everything works out, within a year Purdue will have a fully-online institution serving 30,000+ working adults. That is a big if, by the way.

    This estimate is probably optimistic, however, based on the outlook for eVersity, the fully-online institution being created in the state of Arkansas. The eVersity leaders have decided that they cannot wait for regional accreditation as reported at Inside Higher Ed today [emphasis added].

    When the University of Arkansas System envisioned creating the online-only institution eVersity in 2014, it planned to follow the well-worn path trodden by other public higher education systems in launching fully online institutions: building on the accreditation of the system’s other universities before seeking independent approval from the regional accreditor.

    But come January, eVersity will seek approval from the Distance Education Accrediting Commission — a national body that overwhelmingly accredits for-profit and nonprofit online institutions — rather than the Higher Learning Commission, which accredits all other public institutions in Arkansas and many nonprofit colleges in 18 other states.

    One of the primary factors shaping eVersity’s decision is speed. The regional accreditor told the university that it could take roughly six years for HLC to award its stamp of approval, while DEAC — assuming it affirms eVersity in January — will have acted in just under two years. Institutional accreditation is required for eVersity students to gain access to federal financial aid, and to ensure that their credentials are valued by employers and others.

    The challenge with national accreditation includes severe limitations on students being able to transfer credits out of the school.

    On the issue of speed, [senior policy analyst at the Center for American Progress] Flores noted that institutions waiting for regional accreditation can often apply for federal aid during the candidacy stage of their application, and that students who attend regionally accredited institutions will have a much easier time transferring their credits than those who attend nationally accredited ones. Flores said eVersity seemed like “a little bit of an odd fit” for DEAC, which typically accredits smaller for-profit institutions that don’t offer federal aid.

    The IHE article (very well-written, by the way) described the path chosen by previous fully-online institutions.

    A more conventional route to regional accreditation, however, is to start as a division of an already regionally accredited campus, said Goldstein. This is what the University of Maryland University College did before obtaining independent regional accreditation. Colorado State University Global Campus also went this route.

    [Chief academic and operating officer of eVersity] Moore said that eVersity decided not to do that, as it did not want to be under the academic and administrative control of another University of Arkansas System institution. “We wanted the ability to be nimble and responsive and not burdened by legacy systems, practices and policies. There are certainly advantages to built-in infrastructures, but they also come with a cost,” said Moore.

    Think about the implications – if a state wants a new, fully-online institution to serve working adults, there seems to be four choices before there is meaningful impact in numbers of students enrolled in institution:

    • Establish new, separate institution, choose regional accreditation, be patient in realistic enrollment growth, and expect 10 – 15 years for meaningful impact
    • Do the above but choose national accreditation and limit transfer ability and possibly impact enrollment, and expect 6 – 11 years
    • Establish division of another school using their accreditation, then spin off for separate institution later on, and risk getting caught up in traditional institution’s legacy policies and practices (unknown timescale)
    • Pull a Mitch Daniels and buy an existing online (or mostly online) institution through creative process, risk not being approved due to transfer of control, and risk getting caught up in the online institution’s legacy policies and practices – and expect 2 – 3 years if the bet works out

    California likely faces similar choices with the fully-online college directive being evaluated this fall. This is a legacy-building project, but there will be real pressure to not have to wait 10 – 15 years to start getting meaningful impact. eVersity from Arkansas is going through this same process ahead of time, and the California team should learn lessons by watching what works and doesn’t work in this case.

    More broadly, the IHE article ends with a key point about accreditation needing to change.

    Russell Poulin, director of policy and analysis at the WICHE Cooperative for Educational Technologies, said that accreditors needed to figure out how to accredit new providers more quickly, without compromising on quality. “Accreditation is slow and innovation is fast; we are starting to see political and business pressure to find alternatives,” he said.

    Read the entire IHE article. This subject is important.

  • Fear Itself

    A little over a week ago, I wrote a “recommended reading” post pointing to a piece from Inside Higher ed and The Times Higher Ed called “Fear of Looking Stupid” about research from Carnegie Mellon University anthropologist Lauren Herckis about faculty resistance to “innovative” approaches. (I use quotes here not to imply a value judgement but to indicate that “innovative” was the word used in the article.) The title of the article gives you a pretty good sense of the angle taken by the author. The comment thread on that article was fascinating, as was John Warner’s terrific column in response.

    We are lucky to have a guest post from Dr. Herckis and her colleagues Richard Scheines and Joel Smith with some additional perspective and follow-up information. I took the liberty of adding a title to their post.

    – Michael

    We were delighted that Times Higher Education and Inside Higher Ed reported on the anthropological research being conducted at Carnegie Mellon on the roadblocks to implementation of demonstratively effective pedagogical innovations. We’d like to take the opportunity to expand the conversation.

    Our research exposes multiple factors behind faculty resistance to making changes to their teaching practice, including the institutional barriers encountered by faculty adopting evidence- or research-based practices and especially where technology is involved. There are, of course, many effective teaching practices in use, and current research helps to explain why they work when they do. But that research also points to many other tools and practices that increase teaching effectiveness.

    Our aim is to develop a detailed and actionable understanding of what impedes and what helps faculty adopting research-based practices.

    The idea that faculty are invested strongly in avoiding embarrassment, and are thus sometimes reluctant to adopt innovative tools or practices – as reported in the THE/IHE article – is true. But the story is richer.

    Faculty do not want to waste students’ time; they want to teach well. Using methods that they have honed is therefore important. Faculty learn to teach over years of practice, as most of us have little or no training in teaching. Tried and true methods are appealing because faculty have reason to think that they work.

    If students have seemed to enjoy the material and report learning from the course, why change? Methods that leave students feeling good about the course (and the professor) are appealing, both because they are validating (“yes, I AM a good professor!”) and because happy students provide good evaluations of teaching, which are vital for faculty job security.

    Until we change the incentives and provide alternative sources of personal identity affirmation, faculty will not be motivated to invest time and energy in changing their teaching to adopt practices shown by research to be more effective.

    Our research on implementation of research-based instruction shows that faculty care about their students, and want to ensure that students have a good experience. Yes, some faculty at Carnegie Mellon hesitate to use unfamiliar methods or technology because they don’t want to embarrass themselves in class. Few of us want that. But they also don’t want to waste students’ time if something goes awry, want the validation of satisfied students, take student satisfaction as a sign that things are going well, fear the professional consequences of poor teaching evaluations, don’t think alternatives are a good fit, are sceptical of literature that supports alternatives, and believe that institutional support for alternatives is lacking.

    Innovation for the sake of innovation doesn’t serve faculty or students. But the use of research-based, effective teaching methods does serve students, and it is in our interest to learn how to support faculty in adopting and sustaining the use of such methods.

    To do this, we need to step back, look at the big picture, and address the multiple contributing factors to success and failure in implementing evidence-based practice. Our research shows that systematically incorporating anthropological analysis is an important and rarely used tool for understanding roadblocks to, and enablers of, meaningful innovation in higher education. Without it, we are flying blind.

    The research results that we had time to report in our brief presentation at the Global Learning Council meeting  (and reported in THE/IHE) are only a small part of what we have learned about implementation of instructional innovation. A full report detailing our findings will be available in September 2017 at http://cmu.edu/simon.  Academic articles regarding methodology and results will be submitted for peer review in the coming months; these articles will be shared at http://www.cmu.edu/simon/projects/flagship-projects/barriers-to-tel.html as they are published


    Lauren Herckis is Simon Initiative research scientist and adjunct instructor, Richard Scheines is dean of Dietrich College of Humanities and Social Sciences, and Joel Smith is distinguished career teaching professor, all at Carnegie Mellon University.

  • Enrollment Implications Regarding Directive for Online Community College in California

    A month ago Governor Jerry Brown directed Eloy Oakley, Chancellor of the California Community College System (CCCS) ((Disclosure: The Online Education Initiative from CCCS is a client of MindWires. The views in this and future posts represents my independent views and not OEI’s.)) to “take whatever steps are necessary” to establish a fully-online college. At first glance this directive appears to be a solution in search of a problem, so it is worth looking beyond the headline see what is motivating this move.

    In an article from Community College Daily:

    Noting that the system has significantly expanded the number of online courses, Brown said, “I believe it is time now for our community colleges to increase even further the availability of online courses and degree programs – and make college far more accessible and affordable.”

    Reaching more students

    “The governor has been interested in realizing the promise of online education for a number of years,” Oakley said in an interview with CCDaily. He added that Brown also wants a way to reach more nontraditional students.

    “We have literally tens of thousands of working adults with some college and no credentials and a couple of million working adults who are unemployed or underemployed,” Oakley said. “This is a wonderful opportunity to reach a population that really needs a community college to achieve economic mobility.”

    The details are not yet worked out, and Oakley is pulling together a group to advise on the options available to make this directive a reality, with the recommendations due in November. Oakley’s comments clearly establish access for nontraditional students to be the ultimate driver. In an interview with Inside Higher Ed, Oakley commented further:

    “Part of this is the governor’s desire to reach more students in California through a technology platform,” said Eloy Ortiz Oakley, chancellor of the California Community College system. “The 114 campuses are designed in a traditional manner, so we’re reaching a traditional population that is students coming out of high schools.”

    But a new online-only college could reach students those traditional brick-and-mortar campuses are currently missing — adults who are unemployed or underemployed, he said.

    To achieve these goals of reaching more working adult students, there are some real challenges to address.

    View of CCCS Enrollment Mix

    It is worth viewing the historical headcount numbers available from the Chancellor’s office, focusing on age group to get a better understanding of the status quo.

    The headcount for CCCS peaked in 2009 at 2.93 million students and has since dropped to the current 2.36 million level, a reduction of 19%. Across the state, colleges are looking for ways to increase, or at least slow the decrease, in overall enrollment.

    What is most striking in the data, however, is the shift from older students (age 25 and above, or “adults”) to younger students (age 24 and blow, or “traditional”) for the community college system, with the mix roughly reversed from 25 years ago. Chancellor Oakley and Governor Brown are right to note that the older student population is not being served well, at least if we use actual enrollment as a proxy. And the situation is getting worse, not better. However, while the majority of students in CCCS are 24 or younger, there are also a large number of older adult students. In other words, there appears to be an overlap between the students in the current 114 colleges and the target students for the new fully-online college. This will present quite a challenge for Oakley and other planners to make the following statement from the IHE interview a reality.

    “We don’t want to cannibalize the system, and we wouldn’t want to create a college to take enrollment from other colleges,” Oakley said. “Any solution would have to complement what we do, and it has to have an opportunity to share revenue with the colleges and really enhance their ability to serve students.”

    This statement is sounds good on paper and will be crucial in terms of getting at least tacit support from the current colleges to the creation of a new, full-online college. But the data shows there is not a clear and easy path to serve adult, non-traditional students without affecting existing colleges.

    National Trends

    In this situation California is not alone. The National Student Clearinghouse research for Fall 2016 shows first that community college (2-year public) enrollments have been dropping nationwide.

    And just like in California, adult student enrollment has been dropping much faster than 18-24 year old enrollment. 24 and under groups have dropped 1.0 – 2.4% per year while 25 and above groups have dropped 5.5 – 7.6% per year (see bottom two rows).

    This will be another challenge for the CCCS planning team, as there is no indication that California is screwing up while other states have the same problem figured out – the reduction in community college enrollments, particularly for adult students, appears to be a nationwide demographic trend.

    Comparison Colleges

    Assuming that the plan works out and they find new enrollment opportunities that don’t cannibalize existing college student groups, it is also worth considering how large this college might become. I pulled together the IPEDS data for several of the top-growing online undergraduate colleges ((The comparison colleges might not be exclusively online, but they have become at least predominantly online.)) to get some idea of what the best-case scenario might be in terms of enrollment growth. This data looks at fall enrollment numbers which will be lower than full-year headcount numbers.

    Once we get past the “holy crap, look at Southern New Hampshire University’s (SNHU) growth”, there are a few observations to make.

    • We’ll have to see where SNHU goes, but there has traditionally been a ceiling to the size of online enrollment per institution of around 80,000 – 100,000. The primary exception has been the University of Phoenix that reached a quarter of a million online students back in 2010, but their enrollment has been dropping since then and are more of the exception that proves the rule. All others have peaked well under 100,000 students. Just this spring Liberty University experienced their first recent enrollment drop, leading to staff layoffs.
    • The maximum growth rate of these cherry-picked successful schools ranges from ~1,200 / year for Excelsior to ~7,700 / year for SNHU (note that Rio Salado at ~1,400 / year is the only public institution). Add to this the fact that all of these schools have been around for decades. No accreditation issues, no time-consuming establishment of core leadership team, etc.
    • There is a big difference in dealing with institutional issues and statewide issues, particularly in California. One in five US community college students in the US do so in California, and the statewide issues tend to come in large numbers. Statewide issues tend to come in hundreds of thousands while institutional issues tend to come in tens of thousands.

    What this points to is that for a new fully-online institution to get to some meaningful level of enrollment (let’s say 20,000) in the same ballpark as these comparison schools, I estimate it would take a full decade at the least. This is the reason, by the way, that Mitch Daniels and Purdue University made the Kaplan University deal even though Kaplan’s enrollments are dropping. Daniels did not want to wait a decade to get to meaningful enrollment numbers for an online college serving working adults – if everything works out, within a year Purdue will have a fully-online institution serving 30,000+ working adults. That is a big if, by the way.

    None of this analysis is to argue that CCCS should not try to establish a fully-online college. The goal of better serving nontraditional populations – adult students with and without jobs – is worth pursuing on its own merits.

    The numbers do argue, however, for a realistic view on the challenges they face:

    • Fighting against national demographic trends for adult students of community colleges;
    • Trying to avoid cannibalizing enrollment from existing California Community Colleges;
    • Having the patience to support the schools while it take years to grow to a size with meaningful enrollment levels; and
    • Accepting that best case this approach probably recovers less than 10% of the enrollment drop since 2009.

    I would hope that the CCCS planning efforts take the hard numbers into consideration when searching for different options to satisfy the governor’s directive.